Publications

2023

  • Brockhaus, Elisabeth K.; Wolffram, Daniel; Stadler, Tanja; Osthege, Michael; Mitra, Tanmay; Littek, Jonas M.; Krymova, Ekaterina; Klesen, Anna J.; Huisman, Jana S.; Heyder, Stefan; Helleckes, Laura M.; Heiden, Matthias an der; Funk, Sebastian; Abbott, Sam; Bracher, Johannes (2023-11-27). Why are different estimates of the effective reproductive number so different? A case study on COVID-19 in Germany. PLOS Computational Biology. https://journals.plos.org/ploscompbiol/article?id=10.1371/journal.pcbi.1011653.
  • Heyder, Stefan; Hotz, Thomas (2023-10-04). Measures of COVID-19 Spread. Covid-19 pandisziplinär und international: Gesundheitswissenschaftliche, gesellschaftspolitische und philosophische Hintergründe. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-658-40525-0_3.

2022

  • Bracher, Johannes; Wolffram, Daniel; Deuschel, Jannik; Görgen, Konstantin; Ketterer, Jakob L.; Ullrich, Alexander; Abbott, Sam; Barbarossa, Maria V.; Bertsimas, Dimitris; Bhatia, Sangeeta; Bodych, Marcin; Bosse, Nikos I.; Burgard, Jan Pablo; Castro, Lauren; Fairchild, Geoffrey; Fiedler, Jochen; Fuhrmann, Jan; Funk, Sebastian; Gambin, Anna; Gogolewski, Krzysztof; Heyder, Stefan; Hotz, Thomas; Kheifetz, Yuri; Kirsten, Holger; Krueger, Tyll; Krymova, Ekaterina; Leithäuser, Neele; Li, Michael L.; Meinke, Jan H.; Miasojedow, Błażej; Michaud, Isaac J.; Mohring, Jan; Nouvellet, Pierre; Nowosielski, Jedrzej M.; Ozanski, Tomasz; Radwan, Maciej; Rakowski, Franciszek; Scholz, Markus; Soni, Saksham; Srivastava, Ajitesh; Gneiting, Tilmann; Schienle, Melanie (2022-10-31). National and subnational short-term forecasting of COVID-19 in Germany and Poland during early 2021. Communications Medicine. https://www.nature.com/articles/s43856-022-00191-8.
  • Sherratt, K.; Gruson, H.; Grah, R.; Johnson, H.; Niehus, R.; Prasse, B.; Sandman, F.; Deuschel, J.; Wolffram, D.; Abbott, S.; Ullrich, A.; Gibson, G.; Ray, El.; Reich, Ng.; Sheldon, D.; Wang, Y.; Wattanachit, N.; Wang, L.; Trnka, J.; Obozinski, G.; Sun, T.; Thanou, D.; Pottier, L.; Krymova, E.; Barbarossa, Mv.; Leithäuser, N.; Mohring, J.; Schneider, J.; Wlazlo, J.; Fuhrmann, J.; Lange, B.; Rodiah, I.; Baccam, P.; Gurung, H.; Stage, S.; Suchoski, B.; Budzinski, J.; Walraven, R.; Villanueva, I.; Tucek, V.; Šmíd, M.; Zajícek, M.; Pérez Álvarez, C.; Reina, B.; Bosse, Ni.; Meakin, S.; Di Loro, P. Alaimo; Maruotti, A.; Eclerová, V.; Kraus, A.; Kraus, D.; Pribylova, L.; Dimitris, B.; Li, Ml.; Saksham, S.; Dehning, J.; Mohr, S.; Priesemann, V.; Redlarski, G.; Bejar, B.; Ardenghi, G.; Parolini, N.; Ziarelli, G.; Bock, W.; Heyder, S.; Hotz, T.; E. Singh, D.; Guzman-Merino, M.; Aznarte, Jl.; Moriña, D.; Alonso, S.; Álvarez, E.; López, D.; Prats, C.; Burgard, Jp.; Rodloff, A.; Zimmermann, T.; Kuhlmann, A.; Zibert, J.; Pennoni, F.; Divino, F.; Català, M.; Lovison, G.; Giudici, P.; Tarantino, B.; Bartolucci, F.; Jona Lasinio, G.; Mingione, M.; Farcomeni, A.; Srivastava, A.; Montero-Manso, P.; Adiga, A.; Hurt, B.; Lewis, B.; Marathe, M.; Porebski, P.; Venkatramanan, S.; Bartczuk, R.; Dreger, F.; Gambin, A.; Gogolewski, K.; Gruziel-Slomka, M.; Krupa, B.; Moszynski, A.; Niedzielewski, K.; Nowosielski, J.; Radwan, M.; Rakowski, F.; Semeniuk, M.; Szczurek, E.; Zielinski, J.; Kisielewski, J.; Pabjan, B.; Holger, K.; Kheifetz, Y.; Scholz, M.; Bodych, M.; Filinski, M.; Idzikowski, R.; Krueger, T.; Ozanski, T.; Bracher, J.; Funk, S. (2022-06-16). Predictive performance of multi-model ensemble forecasts of COVID-19 across European nations. NA. http://medrxiv.org/lookup/doi/10.1101/2022.06.16.22276024.
  • Grundel, Sara; Heyder, Stefan; Hotz, Thomas; Ritschel, Tobias K. S.; Sauerteig, Philipp; Worthmann, Karl (2022-04-01). How Much Testing and Social Distancing is Required to Control COVID-19? Some Insight Based on an Age-Differentiated Compartmental Model. SIAM Journal on Control and Optimization. https://epubs.siam.org/doi/10.1137/20M1377783.

2021

  • Burgard, Jan Pablo; Heyder, Stefan; Hotz, Thomas; Krueger, Tyll (2021-08-31). Regional estimates of reproduction numbers with application to COVID-19. arXiv:2108.13842 [stat] (accepted for publication). http://arxiv.org/abs/2108.13842.
  • Bracher, J.; Wolffram, D.; Deuschel, J.; Görgen, K.; Ketterer, J. L.; Ullrich, A.; Abbott, S.; Barbarossa, M. V.; Bertsimas, D.; Bhatia, S.; Bodych, M.; Bosse, N. I.; Burgard, J. P.; Castro, L.; Fairchild, G.; Fuhrmann, J.; Funk, S.; Gogolewski, K.; Gu, Q.; Heyder, S.; Hotz, T.; Kheifetz, Y.; Kirsten, H.; Krueger, T.; Krymova, E.; Li, M. L.; Meinke, J. H.; Michaud, I. J.; Niedzielewski, K.; Ożański, T.; Rakowski, F.; Scholz, M.; Soni, S.; Srivastava, A.; Zieliński, J.; Zou, D.; Gneiting, T.; Schienle, M. (2021-08-27). A pre-registered short-term forecasting study of COVID-19 in Germany and Poland during the second wave. Nature Communications. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-021-25207-0.
  • Grundel, Sara M.; Heyder, Stefan; Hotz, Thomas; Ritschel, Tobias K. S.; Sauerteig, Philipp; Worthmann, Karl (2021-01-01). How to Coordinate Vaccination and Social Distancing to Mitigate SARS-CoV-2 Outbreaks. SIAM Journal on Applied Dynamical Systems. https://epubs.siam.org/doi/abs/10.1137/20M1387687.

2020

  • Miolane, Nina; Guigui, Nicolas; Brigant, Alice Le; Mathe, Johan; Hou, Benjamin; Thanwerdas, Yann; Heyder, Stefan; Peltre, Olivier; Koep, Niklas; Zaatiti, Hadi; Hajri, Hatem; Cabanes, Yann; Gerald, Thomas; Chauchat, Paul; Shewmake, Christian; Brooks, Daniel; Kainz, Bernhard; Donnat, Claire; Holmes, Susan; Pennec, Xavier (2020-11-01). Geomstats: A Python Package for Riemannian Geometry in Machine Learning. Journal of Machine Learning Research. http://jmlr.org/papers/v21/19-027.html.
  • Hotz, Thomas; Glock, Matthias; Heyder, Stefan; Semper, Sebastian; Böhle, Anne; Krämer, Alexander (2020-04-18). Monitoring the spread of COVID-19 by estimating reproduction numbers over time. arXiv:2004.08557 [q-bio, stat]. http://arxiv.org/abs/2004.08557.